Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.052529 0.059891 0.067420 0.075666 0.084414 0.093389 0.103266
2025-10-19 0.041276 0.052066 0.063643 0.076849 0.091368 0.106732 0.124111
2025-10-26 0.033333 0.046076 0.060327 0.077126 0.096103 0.116635 0.140303
2025-11-02 0.028059 0.042168 0.058536 0.078359 0.101237 0.126407 0.155826
2025-11-09 0.023340 0.038238 0.056158 0.078422 0.104615 0.133858 0.168441
2025-11-16 0.018309 0.033258 0.052004 0.075945 0.104677 0.137233 0.176179
2025-11-23 0.014261 0.029011 0.048332 0.073687 0.104695 0.140305 0.183348
2025-11-30 0.012165 0.027168 0.047508 0.074745 0.108507 0.147649 0.195299
2025-12-07 0.010567 0.025830 0.047196 0.076322 0.112852 0.155543 0.207822
2025-12-14 0.009526 0.025198 0.047738 0.078915 0.118380 0.164789 0.221881
2025-12-21 0.008120 0.023784 0.047081 0.079869 0.121822 0.171510 0.232955
2025-12-28 0.008361 0.025157 0.050352 0.085964 0.131651 0.185855 0.252969
2026-01-04 0.006512 0.022726 0.048190 0.084990 0.132832 0.190086 0.261415
2026-01-11 0.005494 0.021640 0.047909 0.086495 0.137133 0.198102 0.274385
2026-01-18 0.004361 0.020094 0.046822 0.086827 0.139894 0.204218 0.285082
2026-01-25 0.003584 0.019109 0.046500 0.088145 0.143869 0.211781 0.297474
2026-02-01 0.002712 0.017662 0.045336 0.088213 0.146176 0.217260 0.307343
2026-02-08 0.001642 0.015228 0.042361 0.085576 0.144850 0.218178 0.311658
2026-02-15 0.000879 0.013090 0.039653 0.083171 0.143719 0.219255 0.316095
2026-02-22 0.000600 0.012409 0.039401 0.084298 0.147231 0.226083 0.327465
2026-03-01 0.000417 0.011969 0.039539 0.085978 0.151467 0.233807 0.339916
2026-03-08 0.000327 0.011931 0.040405 0.088737 0.157148 0.243343 0.354573
2026-03-15 0.000179 0.011310 0.040128 0.089752 0.160463 0.249896 0.365593